New testimonial

This week I received the following testimonial from Stephen, who I have now known for a number of years and has been an active member within our small group of traders:

A Turtle talks about trend following on stocks

Almost a month ago I posted this article about how that, given the recent price action, I was currently shorting individual stocks. I also mentioned that I had recently taken a couple of long trades, again purely based on meeting my entry criteria and triggering an entry.

Well, since then the long positions taken ended up generating small losses, but some of the short trades taken are still going strong. No reason to exit if the trend is still intact and the trailing stops haven't been hit...

Examples of opportunity loss

Suppose you have a situation where you take an entry signal only for the position to go nowhere, so you end up getting frustrated and close the trade. The next thing you know, the stock takes off in the direction you were attempting to trade, leaving you left on the sidelines. What have you lost? 

Some people would say that, as you haven't lost anything, you should simply move on and concentrate on what is happening in front of you now.

While I agree with the fact that you need to move on, I would  disagree with the point about not having lost anything - there is an opportunity loss incurred. 

Keep your eyes open for stocks bucking the trend

As a breakout trader, I only ever go long on new highs, or go short on new lows. Therefore, while the longer-term trend in the general market is still intact, the recent pullback or consolidation (not only in the major market averages, but more importantly in lots of individual stocks), in theory makes it difficult for me to participate.

One of the reason I am continuing to run through my scans and keeping my watchlists up to date is that you may find individual stocks that are bucking the trend, so to speak. 

My biggest loss in 4 years

So, let's not beat around the bush. This morning I suffered my largest loss on a single trade since the summer of 2013.

As of yesterday's close, the position was +1.13R in profit. Within a few seconds of the market open, I was stopped out for a -1.95R loss.

S*@t happens. Let's look at the chart:

Christmas 2015 offers

I have a selection of discount offers open on the e-book, 1-2-1 training and mentoring (both annual or quarterly instalment options) - click on the links for more details.

These will run until 31 December 2015.

Discount offer on mentoring due to expire shortly

Just a short reminder that the current offer on mentoring expires at the end of the month.

Here are some testimonials from traders past and present who have been in our group, and who I've had the good fortune to help and assist.

If you would like any additional information please contact me at info@thetrendfollower.com.

Trend following on stocks can work - with certain changes

If you have read the Market Wizards series of books, then you will have come across a bunch of super-successful traders talking about what they do. Do they all trade the same way? Of course not. In fact, they all trade differently to one another in terms of their chosen timeframe, entry and exit rules, and the instruments they trade. But they all have developed the necessary psychological skills to succeed, along with incorporating strong risk management. These core elements are evident in every successful trader I can think of.

Trend following differences

I was asked the question last night about how I differ from other trend following traders.

The basic principles I (and many other trend followers) follow have been used by many successful traders going back decades - people like Ed Seykota, Jesse Livermore, Richard Dennis and the Turtle traders, as well as Richard Donchian, plus others. All have influenced my own approach to trend following.

Each had their own method of identifying when to get in and out of positions, their approach to risk, their chosen markets, their trade selection process etc.

What each trader does over time is evolve and refine their own approach, while keeping the same core concepts and beliefs as other trend followers. The differences come in how they implement those beliefs, along with the specifics of the parameters used.