Why working on yourself is so important

We know we cannot change the past - what's done is done.

We also know that we don't know what will happen in the future - it doesn't exist, and anything (or anyone) can do something which may influence what will occur in the future.

So, what are we left with? We can only react and respond to the moment of now.

Sticking with the process

My historical win rate is about 30%, so with the majority of my trades generating losses, I have learnt to accept losing money along the way.

To me, what is far more important than the monetary outcome of any one trade is whether I am sticking to my process and my execution:

The joy of helping an aspiring trend follower

A while back I received an urgent message from one of the traders in my mentoring group. He managed to get himself into a trade where a trend had developed in his favour and was now (in his words) "going parabolic". 

This person had been developing his method over a period of time, so that it best meshed with his full-time job, which in a pre-COVID world demanded long hours and lots of transatlantic travel. As a result, his chosen timeframe and parameters are somewhat longer-term than my own, but the underlying principles remain exactly the same.

New testimonial

Just before Christmas I received the following from Stefan, an aspiring trend follower based in Germany:

New testimonial

This week I received the following testimonial from Stephen, who I have now known for a number of years and has been an active member within our small group of traders:

Tesla - letting the big trends run

The recent price rise in Tesla is just another example where people who got into the uptrend, and been able to let the trend takes its course, have been able to profit handsomely.

Here is that chart. Based on my own entry and exit rules, entering on 13 December at the $363 level would have generated open profits of more than +22R as of now, with the peak being at over +31R in February. If ever you want an example of letting your profits run, this is it:

New testimonial

A couple of weekends back, while on the train to London, I posted this up on Twitter:

The traders I was going to meet were Craig and Aaron, and our catch up marked the end of working closely together for three years.

Following that, Craig has now kindly forwarded the following note:

Volatility issues

Below I have shown a chart of the Dow which highlights the split personality of the markets in recent times.

Up until the end of January, we can see the market clearly in a trending, stable (i.e. low volatility) state. From there, the chart is a mess, and the Volatility Factor and 2ATR measurements clearly show the explosion in volatility.

Do you have what it takes?

Last month I had the pleasure of catching up with a trader I have known for a few years now, and mentored for a while. We talked for a couple of hours about trading in general, as well as how he has continued to develop himself as a trader. He is now trading full-time and has developed his own method (more of a swing-based style) which he is trading profitably.

Richard Dennis, trend following and leaving your ego at the door

The siren call of the high win rate strokes the ego of many traders, and this causes internal conflict amongst people who aspire to be trend followers.

Left unchecked, the ego within us would make the desire to be seen to be right its primary focus, rather than to make money. But this goes against the grain when it comes to trend following, where the typical win rate can be between 30% - 40%.

Regrets and trading

If your trading is not 100% systematic then there is always the danger or possibility of making an irrational, emotion-driven decision which can cause damage to your trading account, as well as issues with your own mindset.

It is very easy for one such decision to eliminate several months of disciplined trading in one go.

If you are looking at your trading as a long-term endeavour (and NOT as a 'get rich quick' scheme) then you don't want to suffer having any trading 'regrets'.

A positive start to 2017

Markets always go through different market 'states' - either trending or non-trending, stable or volatile.

During the last couple of years it has been difficult (but not impossible) in making money adopting a trend following approach, for me using my preferred timeframe and parameters. That is the nature of the beast. You cannot force the market to march to your beat. You can only take what it is prepared to give you.

Spinning your wheel(s)

A few weeks back, I spoke to a trend follower who had been experiencing a frustrating period in the market. This particular individual previously worked in the City of London and has a strong regard for good risk control.

The concept of acceptance

A critical part of developing the correct mindset in trading is grasping the concept of acceptance.

I first came across this from reading the books of Bob Rotella, a sports psychologist famous for his work with a lot of top class golfers. His first and best well known book in this area is Golf is Not a Game of Perfect.

Working on yourself

In my previous post, I talked about ensuring you take action, after having a clear plan in place. 

But, for many, this is where any psychological issues start to rear their head, as you start to implement your plan with real money at risk in the market.

Most people solely focus on trying to develop a method that can generate profits from the markets. But, how many market participants do you know who spend just as much time (if not more) working on themselves?

Taking action

Over the years, one thing I have found is that people are very good at talking about what they want to do. Following through and putting any plan into action is a different matter, though.

New testimonial

Over the bank holiday weekend I received the following testimonial from Mark:

“I have been in the Steve’s mentoring programme for just over 4 years. Quite simply: as a result of his fantastic mentorship my trading has completely evolved and ultimately become consistently profitable.

Regardless of the trend following method used, I have learnt the importance of psychology and risk control and that they are and will remain paramount to profitable trading.

Reckless risk - and back to square one (again)

A while back, I talked about a long-time friend of mine and his battle against repeatedly losing all his hard earned gains in his own trading account (the original post is here).

I had not spoken to him for a couple of months, but he called me yesterday. Sadly, he had done it again. So what had he done this time?

Refining your own approach

In my garage, I have a dustbin full of old golf clubs. Mainly these are putters that have been tried for a short while before being discarded. As it is, I keep going back to a putter that I bought more than 20 years ago. Now, over time it has gone through many changes - the length of the shaft has been altered, weight has been added to the putter head, and there's been numerous changes backwards and forwards to the thickness of the grip.

While the 'old faithful' felt good to me when I originally bought it, those various changes have helped refine and 'personalize' it to my own preferences and mindset at that time.

Pitfalls when bumping up your equity

One thing I have found is that, when starting out using a new system or approach, people will generally only risk a small level of equity until they get comfortable with that method.