Volatility issues

Below I have shown a chart of the Dow which highlights the split personality of the markets in recent times.

Up until the end of January, we can see the market clearly in a trending, stable (i.e. low volatility) state. From there, the chart is a mess, and the Volatility Factor and 2ATR measurements clearly show the explosion in volatility.

Keep your eyes open for stocks bucking the trend

As a breakout trader, I only ever go long on new highs, or go short on new lows. Therefore, while the longer-term trend in the general market is still intact, the recent pullback or consolidation (not only in the major market averages, but more importantly in lots of individual stocks), in theory makes it difficult for me to participate.

One of the reason I am continuing to run through my scans and keeping my watchlists up to date is that you may find individual stocks that are bucking the trend, so to speak. 

The case for simplicity and the dangers of trying to improve

"Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler."

The above quote is attributed to Albert Einstein, and it is something I try to adhere to with my own trading. That said, there is a balancing act between keeping things as simple as possible, against striving for improvement which may mean adding complexity to what you are doing.

Improving your emotional control

A few weeks back, a trader friend of mine sent me the following message: "Just had my best ever trade...well, was a full -1R loss in record time!"

When I read this I thought he was being sarcastic, however he went on:

"There were f*** all emotions. Didn't hesitate on the exit, didn't think - just acted".

I've known my trader friend for a few years now. He actually has more experience in the markets than me, and has developed his own method, but he is continually learning and trying to develop himself as a trader. He has also been consistently profitable.

So why did he think this was his best ever trade?

The starting point for any trader - what are your beliefs?

I've talked in the past about the importance of constructing your own trading method which is based around your beliefs.

But how do you start this process?